Mushure mekunge OPEC + yafunga muna Gumiguru 5 kutema kugadzirwa kwemafuta nemadhiramu maviri emamiriyoni pazuva kutanga muna Mbudzi, kubheja uye kubhejera mumusika wepasi rose remangwana remafuta akawedzera zvakare."Ikakanganiswa neOPEC + yakadzika kucheka mune mbiri huru shanduko, crude mafuta remangwana musika ikozvino inofungidzirwa capital inodzokera kune isina kuchena mafuta emangwana nzombe musika, yechipiri izhinji yeruzivo sangano mapfupi crude mafuta emangwana zvinzvimbo, nekuti vakaziva kuti se chero mitengo yemafuta yakadzikira, OPEC + inogona kuramba ichidzikira kugadzirwa, kudzamara mutengo wakwira kusvika padanho rekuzivikanwa. "A crude oil future broker akadaro kumutori wenhau ongororo.
Mushure mekunge OPEC + yafunga muna Gumiguru 5 kutema kugadzirwa kwemafuta nemadhiramu maviri emamiriyoni pazuva kutanga muna Mbudzi, kubheja uye kubhejera mumusika wepasi rose remangwana remafuta akawedzera zvakare."Ikakanganiswa neOPEC + yakadzika kucheka mune mbiri huru shanduko, crude mafuta remangwana musika ikozvino inofungidzirwa capital inodzokera kune isina kuchena mafuta emangwana nzombe musika, yechipiri izhinji yeruzivo sangano mapfupi crude mafuta emangwana zvinzvimbo, nekuti vakaziva kuti se chero mitengo yemafuta yakadzikira, OPEC + inogona kuramba ichidzikira kugadzirwa, kudzamara mutengo wakwira kusvika padanho rekuzivikanwa. "A crude oil future broker akadaro kumutori wenhau ongororo.Zvinoenderana neazvino data kubva kuCommodity Futures Trading Commission, vanofungidzira 'net refu zvinzvimbo muBrent uye WTI crude remangwana vakakwira 53,179 zvibvumirano kubva svondo rapfuura kusvika 373,467 kubva Gumiguru 4, yepamusoro-soro mumavhiki gumi nerimwe apfuura.“
Nekudaro, iyo CTA strategy Fund uye commodity investment fund haisati yadzokera kumusika wemafuta asina kuchena, zvichisiya mutengo wemafuta uchikwira kubva pakuderedzwa kukuru kweOPEC +.Iyo crude oil future broker haina kujeka.Chibvumirano chikuru cheWTI chakasimuka kubva pamadhora makumi masere neshanu kusvika pamadhora makumi mapfumbamwe neshanu padhiramu mushure mekunge OPEC + yadzikisa kugadzirwa nemadhiramu 2 miriyoni pazuva, asi yakadzokera kumadhora makumi masere nemapfumbamwe sezvo dhora rendege rakawedzera mumazuva maviri apfuura, Datayes akaratidza."Kutya dhora rakasimba zvakare ndicho chikonzero chikuru nei mari dzechinyakare dzemafuta echinyakare, senge mari yeCTA nemari yezvekutengesa, dzanonoka kutora mukana weOPEC + uye kuderedzwa kwekugadzirwa kuti vadzokere kumusika wemafuta emangwana."Helima Croft, mukuru wepasi rose commodity strategy kuBC Capital Markets.Parizvino, vakamirira kuona kuti ndiani anokunda muhondo pakati peOPEC nedhora rakasimba kuti vasarudze sarudzo inotevera yekudyara.Zou Zhiqiang, muongorori paCentre for Middle East Studies paFudan University, anotenda kuti Saudi Arabia nedzimwe nyika dzeOPEC+ dzakasarudza kucheka zvakanyanya huwandu hwekugadzira ne2 miriyoni b/d, zvichibva pazvido zvavo zvenyika.Imhaka yekuti vanoda mitengo yemafuta kuti irambe yakakwirisa kuti ivape mari yakawanda yekutsigira hupfumi hwavo.Asi hapana mubvunzo kuti izvi zvinokuvadza kune zvido zveAmerica.Nekuti US iri kushingaira kushandisa dhora rakasimba kudzikisira mitengo yemafuta, nokudaro ichideredza inflation yeUS.
Mamaneja akati wandei eWall Street hedge fund akaudza vatori venhau kuti nguva yasara kuti vafembera mhedzisiro yehondo nyowani yekodzero yekuisa mitengo mumusika wemafuta asina kuchena.Asi zviri pachena ndezvekuti OPEC + haizoshiviriri mitengo yakaderera yemafuta kwenguva yakareba kuti ishatise zvido zvayo zvakakosha.Izvi zvatungamira huwandu huri kukura hwevanoisa mari vanobheja padhora vachirova mabheti makuru kuti varambe kuita mabheti makuru pamitengo yakaderera yemafuta, vachiziva nezvenjodzi dziri kukura.Vatori venhau vakadzidza kuti musi wa5 Gumiguru, OPEC + yakafunga kutema kugadzirwa kwemafuta asina kuchena nemadhiramu maviri pazuva, izvo zvakasimudzira manzwiro ekutenga mumusika wepasi rose wemafuta emangwana."Munguva yakapfuura, simba remitengo mumusika wemafuta emangwana rakange richitongwa nehuwandu hwemari, iyo yaitungamirwa nekutengesa kupfupi kwemitengo yemafuta pamberi pekukwira kutsva mudhora, zvisinei nekushandurwa kwemafuta uye kudiwa zvakakosha. ”Vatengesi vemafuta emangwana vakaudza vatori venhau.Izvi zvaita kuti vatengesi vazhinji vanotenda mitengo yemafuta isingakosheswe kuti igare kure.Sekuona kwake, izvi ndizvo chaizvo zvinodiwa nehutungamiri.Imhaka yekuti dhora rakasimba rinochengeta mitengo yemafuta yakadzikira, izvo zvinogona kuderedza zvakanyanya kunetsa kweUS inflation.Nekudaro, nesarudzo yeOPEC + yekudzikisa kugadzirwa nemadhiramu maviri pazuva, mamiriro azvino emari inotonga mitengo yemafuta emangwana "yakasunungurwa".Musvondo rapfuura, nhamba iri kukura yemari yekufungidzira uye inofambiswa nezviitiko yakapinda mukuvhima mitengo yepasi, ichisundidzira kondirakiti huru yeWTI kudzoka pamusoro pemadhora makumi mapfumbamwe nedhiramu.Tonly Datayes dhata kuratidza, kufungidzira capital pasi pemafuta asina kuchena remangwana kutenga mafungu akakwira, kusimuka kubva pakupera kwaGunyana, apo fungidziro yemusika OPEC +, kana kugadzirwa kwakakura, ichiita fungidziro yemari inopinda, main drive WTI crude oil remangwana remangwana mutengo wakaderera. kunze kamwe kanopfuura 13%, uye kunyange yakawanda yekufungidzira capital "kusafuratira" dhora kuti rive nemhedzisiro yemitengo yemafuta, Svetukira mukati uye utenge mutengo wemafuta.Sezvineiwo, indekisi yedhora yakangodzokera kubva pa114.78 kusvika panosvika 113.12 mumavhiki maviri apfuura, ukuwo kondirakiti huru yeWTI yadzoka kubva pamadhora makumi manomwe neshanu kusvika pamadhora makumi masere nemasere."Seri kweizvi, mari yekufungidzira yakawedzera iri kubheja kuti ramangwana remafuta richadzokera kumadhora makumi mapfumbamwe nemashanu- $100 / BBL pahwaro hwakasimba kubva padhora rakasimba.Nekuti ndizvo zvinodiwa neOPEC +.
Iyo crude oil future broker ongororo yakati.Vanoziva zvakare kuti OPEC +, yakatarisana nekupwanya kwedhora rakasimba pamitengo yemafuta, inogona kutora matanho akadai sekuderedzwa kukuru kwekugadzira kukwidza mitengo yemafuta, zvichiita kuti zano rekutenga-pasi ribudirire.Vatori venhau vakadzidzawo kuti svondo rapfuura, mabheti mazhinji paFederal Reserve kuti aenderere mberi neiyo hawkish rate yekudyara masangano akabatana chinyararire mumusasa wekutenga pasi kuti atenge mitengo yemafuta.Nekuti vanotenda kuti Fed ichafanirwa kuenderera mberi nehurongwa hwayo hwekukwira mitengo yemafuta chero bedzi kudzoreredzwa kwemitengo yemafuta kukaramba kuchikwira muUS, vanopihwa mibairo nemafuta akawandisa ekudzoka mumusika wemubereko.Nei mabhuru emafuta echinyakare anonoka kupinda Zvakakosha kucherechedza kuti misika yemari iri kunetsekawo nezvekuti yakawedzera sei OPEC +'s 200-bpd kugadzirwa kwekucheka kuchave nemitengo yemafuta."Mumazuva maviri apfuura, dhora rakasimba rakadzoka, richitumira mitengo isina kuchena yeWTI ichidzikira mushure mekurova $93 dhiramu."Vatengesi vemafuta emangwana vakaudza vatori venhau pachena.Chikonzero ndechekuti pakangosvika quantitative capital yakaona dhora rendege richidzoka, yakakurumidza kuwedzera nzvimbo yayo pfupi mune ramangwana remafuta asina kuchena, zvichikonzera kudonha kunoenderana nemitengo yemafuta.Semaonero ake, tichifunga kuti huwandu hwemari hunosvika makumi matatu muzana ehuwandu hwekutengesa mumusika wemafuta asina kuchena, kukwira kwemutengo wemafuta kubva kuOPEC + kuderedzwa kwakanyanya kwekugadzirwa kungangove "kwenguva pfupi" kana yechinyakare mafuta asina mafuta makuru, akadai. seCTA zano mari uye mari yezvigadzirwa, haidzoke kumusika wemafuta asina kuchena ramangwana.
Mukuru weWall Street CTA zano homwe akaudza vatori venhau kuti kunyangwe vakagara vachitenda kuti mitengo yemafuta haina kukosheswa, vachiri vakangwarira zvakanyanya pamberi pemikana yekutenga purofiti inounzwa neiyo hombe yekugadzirwa kweOPEC +.Vanonetsekana kuti OPEC + inogona kusakwanisa kuwanazve kutaura mumutengo wemafuta.Dambudziko nderekuti remangwana remafuta asina kuchena anotengeswa mumadhora, uye chero bedzi Fed ichiramba ichikwidza mubereko uye kutumira dhora kuti rinyore zvakakwirira, mitengo yemafuta asina kuchena inozopedzisira yatarisana nekudzikira kwakadzika."Chii zvakare, kusagadzikana kwekupa simba muEurope kuri kukonzera kudzikira nekukurumidza muhupfumi hweEurope uye kudonha kwakanyanya kweyero yekuchinjana kwemaeuro, izvo zvakonzera kukwira kwemadhora index, zvichiwedzera kuderera kwemitengo yemafuta. ”Akataura.Haasi mazhinji eCTA mazano emari uye mari yezvigadzirwa zvakadzokera kunzvimbo refu mune ramangwana remafuta asina kuchena, chimwe chikonzero chiri chekuti "vakangwarira" kutenga mikana mitsva nekuda kwekurasikirwa kwakanyanya mumitengo yemafuta.
Mutori wenhau anonzwisisa vazhinji, kunyangwe kana imwe CTA zano homwe uye yepasi mafuta emangwana commodity mari yekupinda, ivo vane mari zvakare ishoma, chimwe chezvikonzero zvakakosha, iyo yakadyiswa yakasimudza mubereko wekupedzisira zvakanyanya kukwirisa mutengo uri kukwira, kuita mari. mari inowanikwa yakawedzerwa inomanikidzwa zvakanyanya, uye zvakaoma kuve nepesvedzero yepamusoro pakuchinja kwemitengo yemafuta."Ichi ndicho chikonzero chakakosha nei mari zhinji dzezvekutengesa uye maCTA achifarira kupotsa mukana uyu wekutenga purofiti pane kutora njodzi, vachisarudza kumirira mhedzisiro pakati peOPEC + nedhora rakasimba vasati vaita sarudzo yavo inotevera.""Akadaro Stephanie Lang, mukuru wekudyara mari kuHomrich Berg.
“Nyaya yejira redu risiri rakarukwa, polypropylene, kugadzirwa kwepetroleum processing.Mutengo wemafuta epasi rose unobata zvakananga mutengo wemangwana wezvigadzirwa zvedu, uye kukanganisa mutengo wemachira edu asina kuruka.Ndokumbira uronge hurongwa hwekuverenga uye hurongwa hwekuzadza pachine nguva. " Akadaro Mason kuHenghua Nonwoven.
Nguva yekutumira: Oct-14-2022
